Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 11.214341 12.888758 14.679317 16.731046 19.011347 21.462218 24.289808
2025-11-16 8.625124 10.824309 13.341503 16.414920 20.043991 24.170054 29.191933
2025-11-23 6.925024 9.319110 12.209003 15.912415 20.486847 25.904660 32.754804
2025-11-30 5.959051 8.505729 11.719046 16.002909 21.488754 28.198485 36.936470
2025-12-07 5.200091 7.831285 11.286325 16.056364 22.359838 30.285583 40.868992
2025-12-14 4.630053 7.325007 10.994506 16.221817 23.323992 32.471803 44.953998
2025-12-21 4.111276 6.820603 10.639650 16.242722 24.054289 34.341049 48.656183
2025-12-28 3.793987 6.567304 10.598386 16.667008 25.318412 36.929130 53.358809
2026-01-04 3.481228 6.282030 10.476292 16.948838 26.373651 39.250120 57.757523
2026-01-11 3.151950 5.932128 10.221763 17.005747 27.091319 41.111605 61.568777
2026-01-18 2.747267 5.413167 9.661471 16.558268 27.039046 41.875877 63.866249
2026-01-25 2.419214 4.984748 9.202624 16.223161 27.115327 42.799005 66.385403
2026-02-01 2.122213 4.580041 8.752228 15.874732 27.157206 43.680137 68.888733
2026-02-08 1.869769 4.225763 8.353370 15.575801 27.248409 44.621830 71.493102
2026-02-15 1.618436 3.841362 7.867253 15.094528 27.018354 45.061246 73.357427
2026-02-22 1.482722 3.666125 7.730459 15.181207 27.680804 46.847808 77.241746
2026-03-01 1.355821 3.492916 7.581263 15.232409 28.279567 48.545954 81.029097
2026-03-08 1.255395 3.362758 7.499249 15.390898 29.052932 50.527453 85.285567
2026-03-15 1.147530 3.202663 7.346442 15.410923 29.590255 52.149062 89.026938
2026-03-22 1.093302 3.156270 7.408129 15.817411 30.788434 54.838287 94.466106
2026-03-29 1.028270 3.076786 7.397386 16.087463 31.759483 57.187753 99.428891
2026-04-05 0.946908 2.947786 7.276027 16.141999 32.355767 58.946352 103.504220
2026-04-12 0.828741 2.710983 6.912252 15.713224 32.083658 59.281420 105.336734